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PERSPECTIVE: The Next ‘Del Rio’ Mass Migration Crisis Is Already Brewing in Yuma, Ariz.

Federal authorities there have been forced to reopen temporary tent shelters in preparation for expected worse to come.

Before a Del Rio, Texas, migrant camp of 15,000 briefly captured national and White House attention, another volcanic rupture point in the southern border fault line was already flaring: this one in Yuma, Ariz.

In a sign that the Department of Homeland Security sees the Yuma Sector as poised to blow even more out of control, agents in other still-beleaguered sectors have been called in to help process an international medley of migrants streaming through this desert wilderness on the California-Arizona state line. Swells of border-crossers have forced the government to establish temporary tent shelters to process many of the illegal migrants into the country.

From October 2020 through August 2021, the most recent U.S. Customs and Border Protection apprehension numbers available, agents encountered 91,841 migrants from mostly Haiti and South America, but also from around the world. In August alone, agents encountered 17,097 migrants, up from 684 that month in 2020, the highest of all nine sectors. That’s a 2,400 percent spike through August 2021 compared to the same time frame in 2020.

Of course, 2020 numbers were at an historic nadir because of pandemic policies that year. But even adjusting for that, the numbers coming in through Yuma on a monthly basis show that something new and very different is afoot.

For context about those 91,841 through August 2021, Yuma Sector accounted for 68,269 in FY 2019; 66,244 in FY 2018; and 11,058 in FY 2017, according to public CBP statistics.

The rate of entry has sharply escalated through the year. For instance, 990 were encountered in November 2020, which quintupled to 5,128 in February and hit more than 17,000 in August.

The data suggests an eruption of fairly epic proportions in the Arizona desert along the Colorado River.

Federal authorities there have been forced to reopen temporary tent shelters in preparation for expected worse to come, a spokesperson told CIS, and have issued a call for Border Patrol agents in other sectors to come help process migrants. This siren call for help has become familiar since the Biden administration took office in January and immediately began accepting hundreds of thousands of family group migrants into the country, which of course only accelerated more of the same.

Some 900 people cross per day at a spot known euphemistically as “The Gap”, for the Morelos Dam bulwarks that allow for easy crossing of the Colorado River from the Mexican town of Los Algodones right into a short, unfinished section of the U.S. border wall.

In his Twitter feed, Yuma Sector Chief Patrol Agent Chris T. Clem has issued a steady stream of photos, video, and statements indicating high volumes of multi-national migrants from 21 countries, including extraordinarily large groups of Brazilians, Haitians, and Venezuelans.

For the weekend of September 20, for instance, while the nation and media focused on the Del Rio Sector’s sprawling migrant encampment, Chief Clem announced that his agents apprehended more than 2,400 migrants. He reported similar numbers for earlier recent weekends, as well, including 1,000 encounters in a single day, “a new fiscal year record for daily apprehensions.”

The chief’s tweets aren’t exactly going viral, as did each development in the recent Del Rio crisis. But the Biden-induced Yuma circumstance towers over the Biden-induced Del Rio one, numerically and in human toll.

That’s why the migration blow-out in Yuma — and the underlying border-wide crisis that has spawned it right alongside Del Rio — warrants immediate attention. It is the latest weak link that migrants have discovered on the southern border. And as bad as Yuma is now, it is likely to get much worse, fast, as a consequence of two factors.

The first is the fact that migrants who successfully identify and breach such openings — and then reap the rich rewards of being legally ushered inside the country to stay, as the Biden administration allows for most family groups — effectively summon even more. One cannot overstate the power of selfies that those in front send to those behind.

The second factor is that a massive wave of 95,000 mostly Haitian migrants is reportedly on the way through another gap, the so-called “Darien Gap” between Colombia and Panama. Even the New York Times has finally admitted that a great many seem to be coming because of Biden’s leniency in allowing them in once they illegally cross the southern border.

The Center for Immigration Studies had already reported the surge this past summer from along the Costa Rica-Nicaragua leg of this trail out of the Darien Gap. CIS reported predictions of the surge prior to Biden’s election, and then when it began through the Darien Gap all year, hereherehere, and here.

What deserves special attention is that the traffic coming through the Darien Gap and then, ultimately, to “the gap” in Yuma does not merely represent a failure of duty to protect in the face of mass lawlessness. This traffic poses a distinct national security threat, the CIS reports point out, since significant numbers hail from countries of terrorism concern and vetting systems tend to fail when under the stress of mass-migration episodes.

In the Del Rio case, President Biden moved swiftly to liquidate the camp that formed there, mainly because it became a political problem. But the administration has yet to indicate that it understands Del Rio — and now Yuma — are not really problems so much as symptoms of a problem, which is that the administration emphasizes a migrant entry-and-stay policy bestowing rewards for illegal behavior. Rewarding illegal and unwanted conduct quite naturally perpetuates the historic mass-migration crisis we see now, border-wide. The administration seems intent only on expanding entry-and-stay, rather than hard deterrence measures, which would end this mass migration crisis if they were ever applied border-wide.

Until the Biden administration shifts from rewards to deterrence, expect more Del Rios and Yumas for years to come.

This piece was originally published at CIS

The views expressed here are the writer’s and are not necessarily endorsed by Homeland Security Today, which welcomes a broad range of viewpoints in support of securing our homeland. To submit a piece for consideration, email editor@hstoday.us. Our editorial guidelines can be found here.

Todd Bensman
Todd Bensman is the Center for Immigration Studies' Texas-based Senior National Security Fellow. He is the author of the forthcoming book "America’s Covert Border War: The Untold Story of the Nation’s Battle to Prevent Jihadist Infiltration," due in February 2021 from Bombardier Books. Prior to joining CIS in August 2018, Bensman led homeland security intelligence efforts for nine years in the public sector. Bensman’s body of work with policy and intelligence operations is founded on more than 20 years of experience as an award-winning journalist covering national security topics, with particular focus on the Texas border. In 2009, Bensman transitioned from journalism to join the Texas Department of Public Safety's Intelligence and Counterterrorism Division, where he managed teams of intelligence analysts that worked in concert with federal homeland security and U.S. Intelligence Community agencies to identify and mitigate terrorism threats. From the State of Texas fusion center for nine years, he designed and directed collection operations that fed into the Intelligence Community and prompted or advanced federal counterterrorism investigations. Among his original programs was a specialized effort to help federal partners disrupt human smuggling networks transporting migrants to the U.S. land border from countries where Islamist terrorist organizations are active. Prior to his government experience, Bensman worked on staff for The Dallas Morning News, CBS, and Hearst Newspapers, covering the FBI, federal law enforcement and serving on investigative teams.

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