Frontline Watch: Examining AI-Related Violence, Iran’s Terror Strategy, and Global Counterterrorism Operations

Frontline Watch provides a biweekly update on emerging terrorist activities and global threat trends, with Counterterrorism Managing Editor Dr. Mahmut Cengiz examining the developments shaping the security landscape both domestically and internationally, with research assistance from Sean Dilallo, Brian Cortes, Ayse Selma Yilmaz, Floyd Alex Cross, Mahmoud Khalil, and Chris Dayton.

This edition features two analytical articles that examine emerging dimensions of contemporary security threats. In Violence Against AI Has Started, and It Is Following a Familiar Pattern, Russell Lundberg explores how rapid technological disruption can generate political violence, arguing that recent attacks on AI-related individuals and infrastructure mirror historical patterns of violence associated with major technological transitions. Drawing lessons from the Industrial Revolution, the article examines how localized grievances, organized movements, and apocalyptic narratives surrounding artificial intelligence could shape future security risks, offering valuable insights for anticipating and preventing AI-related violence. In Examining the Dual Dimensions and Applications of Terrorism in the Conduct of the Islamic Republic of Iran, Ebrahim Roshandel analyzes how the Iranian regime employs both ideologically driven and geographically targeted terrorism as instruments of statecraft. The article examines the regime’s use of ideological mobilization, public persuasion, and asymmetric warfare while assessing the growing threat of Iranian-sponsored terrorism beyond the Middle East, including potential risks to the United States. Together, these articles provide important perspectives on emerging threats posed by technological transformation and evolving forms of state-sponsored terrorism.

The edition also reviews military operations and policy signals related to counterterrorism, as well as notable terrorist attacks recorded from July 18 to July 31. Frontline Watch systematically tracks terrorist activity using the U.S. Department of State’s definition of terrorism, with a particular emphasis on violent acts committed by Foreign Terrorist Organizations (FTOs), including the recently designated Mexican cartels. This consistent, data-driven approach provides practitioners with a comprehensive overview of evolving global terrorism and counterterrorism trends.

Counterterrorism Insights

Violence Against AI Has Started, and It is Following a Familiar Pattern

Technological displacement has produced political violence before. History tells us what to watch for now.

By Russell Lundberg

In April, a 20-year-old from Spring, Texas, firebombed the home of OpenAI CEO Sam Altman and was arrested outside the company’s headquarters carrying kerosene and a manifesto warning of humanity’s extinction, along with a list of AI executives’ names and addresses. Days earlier, someone fired thirteen rounds into the home of an Indianapolis city-county councilman who had backed a data center, leaving a “No Data Centers” note behind. Violence connected to artificial intelligence has arrived, and it is worth being clear-eyed about what it is and where it is likely to go.

The useful starting point is that none of this is unprecedented. Technological displacement has produced political violence before, most dramatically during the Industrial Revolution, and the way it unfolded then is a reasonable guide to what to watch for now. When speakers reassure audiences that AI is just the next industrial revolution, they are reaching for comfort, but the Industrial Revolution was one of the most violent economic transitions in modern history. It raised living standards over the long run, and along the way it produced machine-breaking riots, decades of labor unrest, and the movements that carried that grievance into revolutionary politics. The analogy is apt. It is just not reassuring.

That history offers three practical lessons for reading the current moment.

Read the rest of the analysis here.

Examining the Dual Dimensions and Applications of Terrorism in the Conduct of the Islamic Republic of Iran

By Ebrahim Roshandel

The recent escalation in tensions between the United States and Iran has renewed concerns about Tehran’s potential use of terrorism as an instrument of statecraft. In this article, Ebrahim Roshandel examines how the Islamic Republic employs two complementary dimensions of terrorism—ideologically driven religious terrorism and geographically targeted terrorism—to advance its strategic objectives. The article argues that the regime’s systematic use of ideological indoctrination, public persuasion, and asymmetric warfare provides the foundation for state-sponsored terrorism, while recent rhetoric from Iranian officials suggests an increasing willingness to extend terrorist threats beyond the Middle East, including against targets in the United States. By analyzing the regime’s ideological framework, operational methods, and evolving threat posture, the article offers important insights into Iran’s terrorism strategy and its implications for homeland security and counterterrorism policy. 

In this article, it is appropriate to develop a deeper understanding of the conduct of the Islamic Republic in its use of terrorism in two distinct forms.

Read the rest of the analysis here.

Counterterrorism Snapshot: Operations and Policy Signals (July 18– July 31)

Between July 18 and July 31, 2026, counterterrorism efforts intensified across multiple regions, focusing on dismantling ISIS networks, disrupting Iranian proxy activities, targeting transnational criminal organizations, and strengthening international cooperation. Turkish, Iraqi, and Syrian security forces conducted large-scale operations against ISIS, including raids on safehouses, drone workshops, and militant cells, while Iraq increased efforts to curb Hezbollah-linked weapons smuggling and dismantle Iran-backed Popular Mobilization Forces (PMF) capabilities. Pakistan, Nigeria, and Somalia sustained military pressure on militant groups through major counterterrorism operations, while the United States expanded legal and financial measures by indicting a Hamas financier, sentencing a senior Sinaloa Cartel leader, and coordinating sanctions against the CJNG. Together, these developments underscore the continued emphasis on intelligence-driven operations, financial disruption, and multinational efforts to counter terrorist organizations, state-backed proxies, and transnational criminal networks.

On July 18, 2026, the Turkish gendarmerie detained 119 suspected ISIS members across 30 provinces. These members are charged with crimes related to propaganda and financing rather than armed support. 

On July 19, 2026, in al-Anbar, Iraq, two Iraqis were arrested for smuggling weapons from Iraq into Syria with the ultimate goal of supplying them to Hezbollah. These arrests follow the Syrian interdiction last week and demonstrate increased Syria-Iraq coordination to dismantle the smuggling routes used by Hezbollah. 

On July 20, 2026, in Zghaitoun Valley, Kirkuk, Iraq, Iraqi aviation targeted six suspected ISIS hideouts. The strikes were followed by a ground-based special forces operation to sweep and clear the area.

On July 20, 2026, in al-Anbar, Iraq, the individual suspected of coordinating the Hezbollah-bound weapons shipment stopped at the Syria-Iraq border was arrested.

On July 21, 2026, in Baghdad, Iraq, the Iraqi National Security Services (INSS) raided a drone manufacturing workshop and arrested several people connected to it. 

On July 20–21, 2026, Ismael Zambada García, alias “El Mayo,” 76, a longtime leader and co-founder of the Sinaloa Cartel, was sentenced to life in prison and ordered to pay $15 billion in forfeiture for leading a continuing criminal enterprise and participating in racketeering. According to U.S. authorities, Zambada spent nearly four decades directing the Sinaloa Cartel’s trafficking operations, overseeing the movement of large quantities of fentanyl, cocaine, and other illicit drugs into the United States. Authorities said he used violence, intimidation, and targeted killings to protect the cartel’s operations, maintain territorial control, and eliminate rivals. The sentencing is one of the most significant legal actions against the Sinaloa Cartel’s historic leadership structure. Zambada’s imprisonment has further intensified internal instability within the organization, particularly between factions aligned with Los Chapitos and groups associated with the Zambada family network, including La Mayiza.

On July 24, 2026, in Baghdad, Iraq, Iraqi security forces raided a drone manufacturing workshop linked to a Popular Mobilization Forces (PMF) faction, possibly connected to prior operations targeting the United States Embassy with drones. This raid occurs amid growing efforts by the Iraqi government to disarm or integrate the PMF factions.

On July 24, 2026, United States/Mexico. Cartel Jalisco Nueva Generacion (CJNG): The U.S. Treasury Department, in coordination with Mexico’s Ministry of Finance, sanctioned 55 individuals linked to the CJNG. The sanctions identified Juan Carlos Valencia González, alias “R3,” as the alleged new leader of the cartel following the reported death of Nemesio Oseguera “El Mencho.” Valencia González, described as Oseguera’s stepson, was identified as heading a reorganized CJNG structure.

On July 25, 2026, in Borno State, Nigeria, a senior Islamic State West Africa Province (ISWAP) official surrendered to the Nigerian Army. The surrender followed sustained counterterrorism operations across southern Lake Chad throughout July.

On July 26, 2026, in Balochistan, Pakistani Security forces stated that they killed 16 terrorists during counterterrorism operations following an attack on July 22nd. The operations targeted Baloch militant groups. 

On July 27, 2026, in Mazatlan, Sinaloa, authorities arrested six alleged members of Los Chapitos, including Ricardo “N,” alias “El Tio,” identified as a suspected financial operator and leader of a criminal cell linked to the faction. One detainee was a U.S. national. During the operation, authorities seized firearms, ammunition, drugs, approximately $100,000, communication equipment, vehicles, and properties.

On July 28, 2026, in Sinaloa, federal authorities arrested Adrian “N,” alias “El 20,” identified by Sedena as a key operator of the Cartel de Sinaloa/Los Chapitos faction. He was allegedly linked to control of six municipalities and to attacks against military forces, including the 2016 killing of five soldiers and the 2019 and 2023 Culiacanazos. Authorities seized firearms, ammunition, a vehicle, and tactical equipment during the arrest.

On July 28, 2026, in Sumadaale, Middle Shabelle, Somalia, the Somali National Army destroyed several al-Shabaab hideouts.

On July 28-29, 2026, in Khyber District, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistani security forces launched counterterrorism operations against the Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP). Pakistan’s military stated that they killed 24 terrorists during the operation.

On July 28, 2026, in Baghdad, Basra, Diyala, Karbala, Kirkuk, Nineveh, and Wasit provinces in Iraq, the United States and Saudi Arabia struck Iraqi PMF targets in response to IRGC-directed PMF drone attacks on the United States and Saudi Arabia. At least 20 PMF members were killed and at least 32 were injured. The Iraqi government condemned the attack and is amid ongoing efforts to disarm the PMF.

On July 28, 2026, in Aleppo city and al-Bab, Aleppo, Syria, Syrian security services raided ISIS cells, arresting seven members and seizing weapons, IEDs, and IED manufacturing equipment.

On July 29, 2026, in Baghdad province, Iraq, Iraqi Counter Terrorism Services arrested an ISIS commander accused of taking part in attacks on Iraqi Security Forces and civilians.

On July 29, 2026, in Deir Ezzor, Syria, Syrian security services raided ISIS cells as part of ongoing anti-ISIS efforts by the Syrian state following bombings in Damascus earlier this month. One ISIS member was killed, and six were arrested. A child was killed during the clash, and a security services member was injured. Syrian security services seized weapons, ammunition, and an IED. 

On July 31, 2026, the United States Department of Justice unsealed an indictment targeting Mohammad Yousef Hasna, an Istanbul-based individual. The United States accuses Mohammad Hasna of providing support to Hamas through front charities.

Terrorist Attacks Worldwide (July 18 – July 31)

Between July 18 and July 31, 2026, terrorist and extremist violence remained widespread across multiple regions, highlighting the persistence and diversification of global security threats. In Europe, authorities disrupted a suspected dissident Republican car bomb plot in Ireland, while an ISIS-inspired attacker carried out a deadly vehicle attack at an LGBTQ+ Pride event in Germany. Across Africa and the Middle East, JNIM, ISWAP, ISIS, and the Houthis continued attacks against military, civilian, and strategic maritime targets, while suspected Iran-linked activity targeted commercial shipping in the Red Sea. In South Asia, the TTP, ISPP, ISKP, Baloch militant groups, and anti-Taliban resistance movements sustained attacks against security forces, government officials, and civilians. Meanwhile, cartel violence remained intense in Mexico, with the CJNG and Sinaloa Cartel continuing targeted killings, organized attacks, and high-profile criminal activity, underscoring the growing convergence of organized crime and insurgent-style violence.

Canada

On July 27th, 2026, in Toronto, Canada, a shot was fired at the U.S. Consulate. No casualties were reported in the attack. This is the second time this year that the U.S. consulate in Toronto was shot at. The previous incident was attributed to an Iranian plot. 

Europe

On July 23rd, 2026, in County Monaghan, Ireland, Irish police intercepted a car bomb near the border with Northern Ireland. Multiple people have been arrested in connection with the incident. Dissident Republican groups are believed to be behind the bomb. 

On July 26th, 2026, in Berlin, Germany, an ISIS-inspired individual drove a vehicle into an LGBTQ+ Pride event, killing one person and injuring 29 more. The perpetrator was killed the following day when police attempted to arrest him. The perpetrator recorded a video pledging allegiance to ISIS. German authorities noted that the perpetrator attempted to join ISIS in May 2025, but was arrested and imprisoned in both Lebanon and later Germany. 

On July 30, 2026, in Mocorito, Sinaloa, Mexican Navy forces arrested Rosario Fidel Angulo Salazar, alias “El Yukito,” son of Fredy Angulo Soto, alias “El Yuko,” during an aerial and ground operation in El Zapote de los Cazares. The Cartel de Sinaloa- Chapitos. Authorities identified him as part of the Angulo clan, a family with longstanding ties to the Cartel de Sinaloa. At least 17 additional individuals from his security circle were reportedly detained. 

 On July 30, 2026, in Yahualica de González Gallo, Jalisco, officers from the Jalisco State Security Secretariat arrested Julio César Macías, a 34-year-old U.S. citizen wanted by U.S. authorities for his alleged involvement in a methamphetamine distribution network. The arrest was made under a U.S. federal warrant issued in 2024, and Macías was transferred to immigration authorities to begin extradition proceedings. 

On July 31, 2026, in Atotonilco el Alto, Jalisco, federal authorities arrested Ramon Angel “N,” alias “El R1,” identified as the alleged mastermind behind the assassination of former Uruapan mayor Carlos Manzo. The operation, carried out by Mexican Army special forces and the Secretariat of Security and Citizen Protection, also resulted in the arrest of another individual. Cartel Jalisco Nueva Generacion (CJNG). 

On July 31, 2026, Antonio Oseguera Cervantes, alias “Tony Montana,” a 68-year-old brother of former CJNG leader Nemesio Oseguera Cervantes, alias “El Mencho,” pleaded guilty in federal court to drug trafficking and weapons possession charges. He was associated with the Washington, D.C., Cartel Jalisco Nueva Generacion (CJNG) and entered into a guilty plea agreement before Judge Beryl A. Howell. 

On July 31, 2026, in Mexico, authorities announced a new line of investigation into the killing of influencer Valeria Márquez following the arrest of Ramón Ángel Álvarez Ayala, alias “R1,” an alleged leader of a CJNG-linked cell. Security officials said “R1’s” son allegedly asked his father to order the murder, reportedly after a prior relationship with Márquez and alleged threats against her. 

Middle East

On July 18, 2026, in Aleppo, Syria, suspected ISIS members on a motorcycle opened fire with small arms on a Syrian Ministry of Defense soldier. The victim was killed.

On July 19, 2026, in Aleppo, Syria, suspected ISIS members on a motorcycle opened fire with small arms on a Syrian Ministry of Defense soldier. The victim was injured.

On July 21, 2026, in al-Hajar al-Aswad, Damascus, Syria, three ISIS members attacked a journalist at her father’s home. No injuries or fatalities were reported.

On July 24, 2026, in Yanbu and Jizan, Saudi Arabia, the Houthis launched missiles and unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) targeting Saudi Aramco oil facilities. Saudi air defenses intercepted several projectiles, limiting damage to the facilities. No casualties were reported. The Houthis claimed responsibility for the attack.

On July 28, 2026, in the Red Sea, the Houthis launched ballistic missiles targeting a Saudi oil tanker transiting the waterway. The Houthis announced the attack was part of their naval blockade against Saudi Arabia. The extent of damage to the vessel and any casualties were not immediately reported. The Houthis claimed responsibility for the attack.

Africa

On July 19, 2026, in Kouakourou, Mopti Region, Mali, Jama’at Nusrat al-Islam wal-Muslimin (JNIM) shot down a FAMa helicopter.

On July 26, 2026, in Sambera, Dosso Region, Niger, Jama’at Nusrat al-Islam wal-Muslimin (JNIM) clashed with Islamic State Sahel Province (ISSP). This marks the first time the two groups have clashed in this area in years.

On July 29, 2026, in Egypt’s Damietta Governorate, a bomb-laden drone launched from an unknown location targeted an American regasification vessel, setting it ablaze, along with a Greek-owned tanker. While no party or group has claimed responsibility for the attack, it is suspected that either Iran—or one of its proxies in the region—was behind it, as Iran has repeatedly threatened to target maritime oil transportation and American interests in the region throughout the conflict. The unanticipated attack also comes at a time when President Sisi and the Egyptian government are increasingly feeling mounting pressure to side more firmly with the Gulf countries that have been directly embroiled in the conflict. While the investigation the Egyptian authorities have opened into the incident remains ongoing, it is still unlikely that a one-off incident would tangibly shift Egypt’s strategic calculation vis-à-vis its perceived role in the conflict as a mediator, and, more importantly, the lack of incentive to participate militarily in a war far from its borders at a time of serious economic challenges, even if indicators point to Iran’s fingerprints.

On July 31, 2026, in N’Guigmi, Diffa Region, Niger, Islamic State West Africa Province (ISWAP) or Jama’at Ahl al-Sunna li al-Da’wa wa al-Jihad (JASDJ) attacked an army position, killing 14 soldiers.

Asia

On July 18, 2026, in the Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of the Philippines, unknown motorcycle-borne assailants targeted a military truck on the road by lobbing a grenade, which wounded two Filipino soldiers and three civilians.

On July 22, 2026, in Narathiwat Province, Thailand, suspected southern separatists in a pickup truck attacked a paramilitary security checkpoint with firearms and pipe bombs, killing five paramilitary soldiers and wounding six civilians, including a child.

On July 23, 2026, in Mastung District, Balochistan, Islamic State Pakistan Province (ISPP) ambushed a district judge’s vehicle, killing the judge and his security guard. ISPP claimed responsibility for the attack. 

On July 24, 2026, in Tank District, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan, the Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) attacked a security checkpoint using multiple suicide bombers, killing 12 soldiers, 2 police officers, and a forestry official. Pakistan’s military said security forces killed 12 militants during the attack. The TTP claimed responsibility for the attack. 

On July 25, 2026, in Dushi District, Baghlan Province, the Afghanistan Freedom Front (AFF) claimed to have attacked a Taliban military convoy on the Kabul-Badakhshan route with an RPG, killing seven Taliban fighters and wounding six others.

On July 26, 2026, in Kuran wa Munjan District, Badakhshan Province, the National Resistance Front (NRF) claimed to have attacked a Taliban security checkpoint, killing one Taliban fighter and wounding two others.

On July 26, 2026, in Farsi District, Herat Province, the NRF claimed to have attacked a Taliban outpost, killing one Taliban fighter and wounding three others, then seizing their weapons.

On July 27, 2026, in Zebak District, Badakhshan Province, the AFF claimed to have launched an offensive against the Taliban fighters in the district, killing five and wounding four others.

On July 29, 2026, in the Bagh Shah area of Badakhshan Province, the NRF claimed to have attacked a Taliban outpost in a tactical operation, killing one Taliban fighter and wounding another.

On July 28, 2026, in Badakhshan Province, Islamic State Khorasan Province (ISKP) assassinated Zabihullah Amiri, the director of the Information and Culture Department. ISKP claimed responsibility for the attack. 

On July 29, 2026, in Kech District, Balochistan, the bodies of six laborers from Punjab and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa were found after they were kidnapped two days earlier. A seventh laborer was kidnapped and killed on the 27th as well. Pakistan’s Interior Minister blamed the killings on “Fitna al-Hindustan terrorists,” a term commonly used to refer to Baloch militant groups. 

On July 29, 2026, in Hangu District, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, the Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) attacked a police checkpoint, killing 11 police officers and injuring five others. Additionally, 23 police officers were wounded during operations in response to the attack. The TTP claimed responsibility for the attack. 

On July 27, 2026, in Manila, Philippines, an explosion reportedly caused by an IED occurred near the Philippine Department of Justice but did not result in any casualties.

On July 27, 2026, in Manila, Philippines, a second IED was found near the Philippine Senate on the same day a presidential State of the Nation Address was scheduled. A security team discovered and dismantled the IED.

Mexico and Latin America

On July 20, 2026, in Zacatecas, the Cartel de Sinaloa/Los Mayos and Los Cabrera: The Cartel de Sinaloa-MF faction claimed responsibility in a video for the killing of 10 men in Zacatecas. The armed group, identified by the initials C.D.S. M-F, allegedly stated that the killings were carried out “on orders” and warned individuals who violate agreements with the group and its allies. Five victims were previously found hanging from a bridge.

On July 21, 2026, in Tonala, Jalisco, suspected members of the Cartel Jalisco Nueva Generacion were linked to the discovery of the body of a 34-year-old man with signs of violence in a vacant lot in the Prados de la Cañada neighborhood. The discovery was reported at the intersection of Cañada del Puente and Cañada del Halcon, where police responded after receiving an alert about a deceased individual. According to preliminary reports, the victim showed visible signs of violence, including injuries from blunt objects, and was found in an advanced state of decomposition. A family member arrived at the scene and identified himself as the person who reported the incident, stating that the victim had been missing since July 18. According to the relative’s account, the man had left his residence to collect a sum of money and did not return. No group claimed responsibility.

On July 22, 2026, in Guadalajara, Jalisco, suspected members of the Cartel Jalisco Nueva Generacion carried out a targeted armed attack that killed a 45-year-old man outside his residence in the Miravalle neighborhood. The incident occurred at the intersection of Avenida Academia and Calle Juan Cordero, where the victim was approached by at least two armed assailants on a motorcycle. According to preliminary reports, the attackers opened fire on the victim multiple times at close range before fleeing in an unknown direction. Municipal emergency medical personnel responded to the scene and provided assistance, but the man was pronounced dead after sustaining at least five gunshot wounds to the chest. No group claimed responsibility.

On July 24, 2026, in Tlaquepaque, Jalisco, suspected members of the Cartel Jalisco Nueva Generacion were linked to the killing of a man found with a gunshot wound to the head on an unpaved road in the Cofradia neighborhood. The discovery occurred in a difficult-to-access area, prompting a significant response from municipal police and emergency personnel. According to preliminary reports, the victim was found deceased at the scene after sustaining a fatal gunshot wound to the head. Authorities responded to secure the scene and begin the initial investigation. No group claimed responsibility.

On July 25, 2026, in El Salto, Jalisco, suspected members of the Cartel Jalisco Nueva Generacion carried out a targeted armed attack that killed an elderly woman in the Hermosillo neighborhood. The attack occurred at the intersection of San Carlos and San Alfonso El Alto streets, where the victim was shot. According to preliminary reports, Cruz Verde emergency personnel responded to the scene and confirmed the woman’s death upon arrival. Authorities are reviewing footage from multiple security cameras in the area, which is expected to help reconstruct the incident and identify those responsible. No group claimed responsibility.

On July 29, 2026, in Zapopan, Jalisco, suspected members of the Cartel Jalisco Nueva Generacion carried out an armed home invasion at Olivo Residencial in the early morning hours, resulting in the deaths of a man and a woman. The incident occurred at a residence on Abetos Street, where emergency services were alerted by a 911 call reporting gunfire inside a private home. According to preliminary reports, municipal police officers responded to the scene and interviewed a 19-year-old woman who said several armed individuals forcibly entered the residence. The assailants allegedly threatened and restrained the occupants while searching the property for valuables. During the robbery, the attackers reportedly forced open two safes inside the residence and stole a significant amount of cash and other valuables. Despite the victims allegedly offering no resistance, the suspects shot them multiple times before fleeing the area. No group claimed responsibility. 

On July 29, 2026, in Tlajomulco de Zuñiga, Jalisco, suspected members of the Cartel Jalisco Nueva Generacion carried out a targeted armed attack on a dirt road in the Quinta Jesus neighborhood, killing a man. The victim, estimated to be between 40 and 45 years old, was found deceased near the intersection of Cruz Blanca and Pedro Guerrero streets. According to preliminary reports, the discovery was made at approximately 5:00 a.m., after authorities received an emergency alert about an unconscious person lying in the roadway. Initial reports indicated that the victim died as a result of a direct armed attack involving a firearm projectile. No group claimed responsibility. 

On July 29, 2026, in Valle de Santiago, Guanajuato, suspected members of the Cartel Jalisco Nueva Generacion carried out an armed home invasion that killed four members of the same family, including two federal government welfare officials and a 15-year-old minor. According to preliminary reports and the testimony of a 17-year-old survivor, several armed individuals forcibly entered the residence and opened fire on occupants asleep inside. After the shooting, the surviving teenager called for help, alerting nearby residents, who reported the incident to emergency services. Security forces and emergency personnel responding to the scene initially found three victims deceased and an elderly woman critically injured. The deceased victims were identified as Yael “N,” 25; Julio Raúl “N,” 60; and a 15-year-old male. The injured 60-year-old woman was transported to a nearby hospital but later died from gunshot wounds to her body and head. Authorities confirmed that Julio Raúl and Yael were employed as “Servidores de la Nación” with the state delegation of Mexico’s Secretariat of Welfare. No group claimed responsibility. 

Dr. Mahmut Cengiz is an Associate Professor and Research Faculty with Terrorism, Transnational Crime and Corruption Center (TraCCC) and the Schar School of Policy and Government at George Mason University (GMU). Dr. Cengiz has international field experience where he has delivered capacity building and training assistance to international partners in the Middle East, Asia, and Europe. He has also been involved in research projects for the Brookings Institute, the European Union, and various U.S. agencies. Dr. Cengiz regularly publishes books, articles and Op-eds. He is the author of six books, many articles, and book chapters regarding terrorism, organized crime, smuggling, terrorist financing, and trafficking issues. His 2019 book, “The Illicit Economy in Turkey: How Criminals, Terrorists, and the Syrian Conflict Fuel Underground Economies,” analyzes the role of criminals, money launderers, and corrupt politicians and discusses the involvement of ISIS and al-Qaida-affiliated groups in the illicit economy. Since 2018, Dr. Cengiz has been working on the launch and development of the Global Terrorist Trends and Analysis Center (GTTAC) and currently serves as Academic Director and Co-Principal Investigator for the GMU component. He teaches Terrorism, American Security Policy, and Narco-Terrorism courses at George Mason University.

Sean Dilallo is a Graduate Student in George Mason University’s International Security program. Additionally, he is also a Global Terrorism Analyst at the Global Terrorism Trends and Analysis Center (GTTAC). Sean’s work focuses on militant violence in Pakistan, Nigeria, Mexico, and the Western Hemisphere. Sean holds a BA in Government and International Politics from George Mason University.

Brian Cortes is a United States Marine Corps veteran and federal law enforcement officer with a strong background in security and public service. He is currently a senior at George Mason University pursuing a Bachelor’s degree in International Security with a focus on transnational crime. Brian also served as a Global Terrorism Analyst at the Global Terrorism Trends and Analysis Center (GTTAC), specializing in drug cartels and Latin American gangs.

Ayse Selma Yilmaz is a graduate student in the Global Security Studies program at Johns Hopkins University, specializing in Strategic Studies. She previously served as a research analyst at the Global Terrorism Trends and Analysis Center (GTTAC), where she contributed to the U.S. State Department’s congressionally mandated Statistical Annex for the Annual Country Reports on Terrorism. With more than three years of experience tracking and analyzing terrorist activity, her research focuses in the Middle East. Her areas of expertise include Iran-backed armed groups, particularly the Houthis, as well as jihadist organizations such as Al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP).

Floyd Alex Cross is an analyst at the Global Terrorism Trends Analysis Center where he focuses on Syria and the greater middle east, and on ISIS (Daesh). He is also a student fellow in the Center for Security Policy Studies at George Mason University, where he is pursuing a master’s degree in international security.

Mahmoud Khalil is a former analyst at the Global Terrorism Trends Analysis Center where he researched trends of terrorist attacks and terrorist groups’ behaviors in the Middle East and South Asia. He also holds an M.A. in International Security from the Schar School of Policy and Government at George Mason University.

Chris Dayton is an analyst with a background in security and geospatial science. His work focuses on extremist violence in Nigeria and the Sahel. He also served as a Global Terrorism Analyst at the Global Terrorism Trends and Analysis Center (GTTAC), where he focused on the Lake Chad Basin. Chris holds a BA in Government and International Politics from George Mason University.

Ebrahim Roshandel is a former diplomat and geopolitical analyst specializing in strategic affairs, revolutions, and regime change. He holds PhDs in Middle Eastern Studies and National Security and serves on the Leadership Council at the Heritage Think Tank. His work focuses on regional and international conflict resolution, as well as the development of social and political movements.

Russell Lundberg is a Professor of Security Studies and Graduate Program Coordinator at Sam Houston State University. His research focuses on risk analysis, homeland security policy, terrorism, critical infrastructure, and artificial intelligence. He previously worked at RAND and with the U.S. Department of Homeland Security Office of Inspector General. His work examines how analytical methods can improve security policy and decision-making

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