Phil Klotzbach, along with his team of scientists and researchers at Colorado State University, has released an updated Atlantic hurricane season forecast for the 43rd consecutive year.
The June 10 forecast signals even less Atlantic hurricane activity than the researchers’ earlier predictions. The forecast now calls for up to 11 named storms, of which five could strengthen into hurricanes, and two could become major hurricanes. If this forecast materializes, it would result in a significantly less active-than-normal season, with hurricane activity expected to be 40% below the long-term average.
CSU’s first forecast for the 2026 season, released on April 9, called for a below-average season with up to 13 named storms, of which six could become hurricanes and two could become major hurricanes. The main driver of this below-average forecast is the likelihood of El Niño developing.
Read the rest of the story at Yale Climate Connections.